Political drama
A reader, On e-mail
At the outset, my apologies to your readers for expressing some political thoughts when our country is facing a humanitarian crisis due to onrush of floodwater, engulfing at least 42 districts and affecting more than 4.5 million people so far. More damage is feared. The government has already expressed serious concern and is working to save the marooned people in cooperation with the armed forces and the non-government organisations.In the backdrop of this, political activities and actions are going on. The scenario emerging surrounding the two leaders and their parties needs some careful analysis because I am of the opinion that whatever political drama the nation has witnessed so far has two aspects or parts. The first part is the " corruption history" which is now basically for the consumption of the majority commoners to remain engaged in the corruption phobia as I can see. The second part is more for the political thinkers to analyze and look at the process of politically changes that have taken place since the caretaker government took charge in late October 2006, and also the events prior to that. With due emphasis and support on part-one, one can presumably say that the political drama in Bangladesh is closing up, and soon the nation would have the chance to view the interim-final episode. This means that the fate of the two leaders would be clearer and look certain. The ongoing political alignment would take a clear shape, and the political thinkers would feel more comfortable to draw the political roadmap regarding general election by December 2008. Despite some feeble concern which I also share, the policy makers might opt for the local bodies election first, which would hopefully indicate the impact of the various reforms initiated now, and might also be indicative of the trend of political powers and local leadership emerging in the country. One can predict that the present leadership of the BNP might prevail with more democratisation in party structures including the policy making process. The present leadership might opt for a position where the sole decision making power would not be in existence. The position of the secretary general would be shaky and uncertain. The AL issue cannot be ascertained fully now unless the present leadership is getting a breathing time and atmosphere to think and act. However, internal reforms in political parties would come whatever happens to the two leaders. The precise conclusion is that the BNP is doing better, and the AL is a little battered and would have to resort to their usual role of political struggle to reestablish the party politically, provided there is no major division in the party. The only party safely moving ahead is the Jamaat, and with the grassroots strength they will maintain their demand for political alliance. It is difficult to predict now where they will go, if possible with the " New BNP" or, who knows, with the emerging "PDP".
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